Open Championship Cut Line Likely +1, Benefits Bradley

How the +1 Cut Line Could Shape The Open

According to DataGolf.com, there is a better‑than‑70% chance the cut line will land at +1 as Round 2 unfolds. That projection puts players sitting on that mark in a favorable position for the weekend. Keegan Bradley, who finished the second round on the number, sits exactly at +1, meaning he would cruise through if the forecast holds true. Conversely, PGA Championship winner Aaron Rai is one stroke behind the projected cut at +2, leaving him in a tighter spot.

Rory McIlroy flirted with trouble early in his second round, but a late surge of three birdies over his final 12 holes vaulted him to –1, safely under the anticipated cut line. The same rescue look is expected for Bryson DeChambeau, who posted a 3‑under 67 in the opening round after missing the cut at the three previous majors this season. If he avoids a disastrous back‑nine, he will sidestep golf’s infamous “golden sombrero” of missed cuts.

Key Performances in Round 2

The early part of the tournament showed a wide spread of scores, with several players hovering just above or below the potential +1 mark. Notable names still in the balance include Justin Thomas at +1, Jordan Spieth at +3, and the veteran duo of Justin Rose and Gary Woodland both at +5. All four remain active in the field as the round progresses, making the final cut line a decisive factor for their weekend hopes.

Who’s Still in the Hunt

• Justin Thomas – +1, round in progress
• Jordan Spieth – +3, round in progress
• Justin Rose – +5, round in progress
• Gary Woodland – +5, round in progress

What It Means for the Weekend Field

If the +1 cut line materializes, roughly 70 players plus any ties will advance, fitting The Open’s traditional “top 70 and ties” rule. Players on the correct side of the line will secure access to the third and fourth rounds, while those just above it could be eliminated on a single poor stretch. The tournament’s competitive landscape will shift quickly, rewarding steady play and penalizing any sudden drops in form.

This story will be updated as the cut line evolves and more players complete their rounds.