Big 12’s Top Coach Stays Out of the College Football Playoff

Big 12’s Top Coach Stays Out of the College Football Playoff

2026 Big 12 Coach Rankings: Who Leads the Pack

The Big 12 has become a coaching minefield where stability is rare and every offseason reshapes the landscape. Two of its former stalwarts—Matt Campbell and Kyle Whittingham—have migrated to the Big Ten, while Mike Gundy was shown the door and Chris Klieman hung up his headset. With that turnover, the conference’s pecking order is wide open, and the pursuit of the league’s first national championship since Vince Young’s Texas squad (now outside the league) is underway.

Kalani Sitake – BYU: Top of the 2026 Rankings

Even without a playoff berth, Sitake has turned BYU into a coaching powerhouse. He has posted winning seasons in eight of his ten campaigns at his alma mater, the most of any Big 12 leader, and his overall record since 2020 stands at 57‑20. Back‑to‑back 11‑win seasons have placed the Cougars on the playoff fringe, and Sitake’s reputation is strong enough that Penn State considered him a top target.

Joey McGuire – Texas Tech: Red Raiders’ Rise

McGuire has turned Texas Tech into a conference contender, guiding the Red Raiders to their first Big 12 title and a playoff appearance in 2025. His ability to elevate players from good to great has made him a proven commodity, and the financial backing in Lubbock positions him among the top coaches in the nation. The 2025 campaign alone showcases the next level of success he can deliver.

Sonny Dykes – TCU: Reliable Performer

Dykes cemented his legacy by leading TCU to the 2022 national championship game, a hallmark no other Big 12 bench commander can claim. Although the Horned Frogs haven’t matched that hype, they have posted consecutive nine‑win seasons with bowl victories, giving Dykes a 36‑17 record over four years. His consistency makes him one of the most underrated coaches in the country.

Willie Fritz – Houston: New Relevance

Fritz has a reputation for winning wherever he lands, and Houston is his latest showcase. After a 4‑8 first season, the Cougars surged to a 10‑3 record in 2025—their most wins since 2021—re‑establishing the program as a relevant force. His recruiting acumen is improving, and Houston is now being spoken of as a dark‑horse contender in the Big 12.

Brent Brennan – Arizona: Hot‑Seat Survival

Brennan turned a disappointing inaugural year around, guiding Arizona to a nine‑win season highlighted by a Territorial Cup victory over Arizona State. He has implemented changes that allow his star players to flourish, earning a reprieve from the hot seat and restoring goodwill among Wildcat fans. Consistency remains the next hurdle, as Arizona has not posted back‑to‑back winning seasons since 2014‑15.

Deion Sanders – Colorado: Allure Without Results

Colorado draws crowds when Sanders is at the helm, but the field has not reflected that attraction. Without his sons Shedeur and Travis Hunter, the Buffaloes finished 3‑9 in a season dominated by blowouts, leaving Sanders at a 16‑21 record. Top recruits still flock to Boulder, yet impatience grows if the on‑field product does not improve soon.

Scott Satterfield – Cincinnati: Borrowed Confidence

Satterfield’s seat softened after guiding Cincinnati to its first bowl game in three seasons, but the job is far from secure. He enters the 2026 campaign with a 15‑22 overall record and must find a new quarterback to survive a tougher schedule. Progress toward the .500 mark will be essential, or another coaching change could be on the horizon.

Dave Aranda – Baylor: The Hottest Seat

Aranda’s future at Baylor hangs in the balance after the Bears slipped to a second losing campaign in three years. A 4‑2 start in 2025 gave way to five losses in the final six games, erasing the promise of back‑to‑back winning seasons. Since the 2021 Big 12 title, Baylor is 22‑30, and Aranda must reverse that trajectory immediately or risk being fired before the season ends.

Rich Rodriguez – West Virginia: Sentimental Hire That Fizzled

Rodriguez arrived with excitement but quickly unraveled, posting a 4‑8 record—the worst for West Virginia since 2013. His revival at Jacksonville State raised questions about his ability to compete at the power‑conference level. An improved offensive performance will be required before the noise about the “great idea” of his hiring grows louder.

Lance Leipold – Kansas: Promise Unfulfilled

Leipold instilled belief in Kansas with a solid nine‑win season in 2023, buoyed by a renovated stadium, but the program has stalled. Two consecutive 5‑7 campaigns leave him with only two winning seasons in five years. While he still has runway, the Jayhawks need to see results before the next recruiting cycle looms.

Eric Morris – Oklahoma State: Quarterback Guru Poised for a Raise

Morris has built a reputation for developing quarterbacks, most notably shepherding Cam Ward at Incarnate Word and later resurrecting North Texas with an 11‑win 2025 season. His track record suggests a power‑conference head‑coaching role was inevitable, and Oklahoma State now has a coach with a high ceiling to climb the Big 12 rankings.

Scott Frost – Central Florida: Cycles of Disappointment

Frost’s return to UCF began with a 3‑0 start, but the Knights collapsed, losing seven of their final nine games. This marks his sixth consecutive losing season, echoing his underwhelming stint at Nebraska. The Knights have struggled the most among newcomers to adapt to the Big 12, and there is little evidence that a turnaround is imminent.

Jimmy Rogers – Iowa State: Campbell’s Tough Legacy

Replacing Matt Campbell at Iowa State is a daunting task, yet Rogers brings a proven track record, having led South Dakota State to a perfect 15‑0 national championship in 2023. His brief, solid stint at Washington State left questions about his FBS readiness, but he now faces the challenge of emulating Campbell’s “doing more with less” philosophy.

Morgan Scalley – Utah: Whittingham’s Missing Icon

Scalley’s promotion follows the unconventional departure of Kyle Whittingham, and he inherits a program known for defensive toughness. However, Utah’s defense has regressed in recent seasons, and the fanbase will constantly compare him to his predecessor. Sustaining success while forging his own identity will be the key test for the Utes.

Collin Klein – Kansas State: A Legend Returns

Optimus Klein comes back to Manhattan as a legend, capped by a Heisman‑finalist season in 2012. After serving as offensive coordinator, including two seasons with Kansas State in 2022 and 2023, he now steps into the head‑coach role with high expectations. Though beloved, his lack of head‑coaching experience at an FBS level creates uncertainty in a high‑pressure conference.

The Big 12’s constantly shifting power dynamics mean every coach in this list will face fresh challenges in 2026. Staying on the path to the postseason will demand consistency, adaptability, and the ability to maximize the talent pool that each program holds. Only a handful will emerge as true leaders in the conference’s next chapter.


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