Skubal, Ohtani, Judge: 3 MLB Storylines Post All-Star Break

Skubal, Ohtani, Judge: 3 MLB Storylines Post All-Star Break

Ohtani’s Cy Young Hope in 2026

The All‑Star break is over, but the excitement lingers as MLB opens a fresh stretch on Friday. A lively draft, a exciting Home Run Derby, and brilliant fan festivities made the week memorable despite a dull game. Now the focus shifts to the second half and the storylines that could define the season.

Trade Deadline Could Be a Snooze

Detroit’s turnaround has been remarkable. The Tigers, once 14 games under .500, now sit at 22‑14 and just 3.5 games out of a playoff spot. RHP Evan Skubal has returned from an elbow procedure and looks solid, though not elite, in six starts. A recent report from USA Today’s Bob Nightengale says Skubal wants to stay in Detroit, so his future likely hinges on how the standings shape up.

Even with only three weeks left before the deadline, most clubs appear unwillign to make big moves. Eight teams have single‑digit playoff odds, and only Washington and Cincinnati seem willing to sell. The rest—Athletics, Royals, Rockies, Giants, Angels, and Mets—lack premium assets to trade. Notable potential movers include Freddy Peralta (New York), Luis Arraez (San Francisco) and Jorge Soler (Anaheim), while Baltimore’s Trevor Rogers and Colorado’s Mickey Moniak could also be considerations.

Shohei Ohtani‘s best Cy Young Award showing happened in 2022 when he finished fourth in the voting as an Angel. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)

(Harry How via Getty Images)

Can Ohtani Beat Milwaukee’s Misiorowski?

Ohtani, now 32, is chasing his lone major trophy. He has been plugged into the rotation full‑time, posting a 1.79 ERA over 14 starts and 85 2/3 innings. His strikeout rate sits at ten per nine frames, with a walk rate around 2.7. Only four National League hurlers surpass him in fWAR despite his modest innings total.

Milwaukee’s Jacob Misiorowski currently leads the NL in ERA (1.62), strikeout rate (13.54), opponent batting average (.148) and fWAR (4.4). He has worked 111 innings, the fifth‑most in the league. For Ohtani to dethrone the “Miz,” he must post a lower ERA and log considerably more innings by season’s end.

Other elite pitchers also pose threats. Cristopher Sánchez has a 2.62 ERA in 127 1/3 frames, Chris Sale sits at 2.20 ERA in 98 innings, and Chase Burns boasts a 2.54 ERA across 102 2/3 innings. The competition makes Ohtani’s Cy Young quest especially steep.

Aaron Judge’s Return Timeline

New York’s captain has been sidelined since May 31 with a rib issue. GM Brian Cashman announced additional imaging will be performed during the All‑Star break to gauge the healing process. While Judge is out, the Yankees have compiled an 18‑19 record, leaving them three games behind the Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East.

A swift recovery could ignite a late charge, but the primary goal is having Judge at full strength by postseason play. The division gap could narrow quickly once he returns to the lineup.

AL MVP Race Heats Up

Injuries have reshaped the American League MVP picture. Aaron Judge, Evan Skubal, José Ramírez, Gunnar Henderson, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Cal Raleigh are all compromised or in decline. Bobby Witt Jr., the Royals’ second‑baseman, leads the AL in fWAR but has struggled at the plate relative to expectations.

If Witt can boost his hitting, he could become the favorite, but the race is likely to narrow to Houston’s Yordan Alvarez and Tampa’s Junior Caminero. Alvarez dominates offensive stats, though he lacks baserunning value as a DH. Caminero, a hot‑hitting third baseman, is gaining ground and could close the gap with a strong finish.

Even Cam Schlittler, the Yankees’ youngest ace, is being mentioned as a potential dark‑horse candidate should the race stay wide open.

CBA Talks Stall Ahead of Deadline

Commissioner Rob Manfred and MLBPA interim head Bruce Meyer traded barbs during All‑Star week, underscoring the deep ideological divide. Their current proposals have not bridged the gap, and no substantial progress is expected before the World Series concludes. With the collective bargaining agreement set to expire December 1, a work stoppage remains the most likely outcome.

The league and union have long relied on the final days before a deadline to accelerate negotiations, but the recent pattern suggests both sides will continue to hold firm through the fall.


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